The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The Black Swan explores the concept of highly improbable and unpredictable events, which Taleb calls "Black Swans," that have massive impact on the world. The book argues that traditional methods of risk management and forecasting fail to account for these outlier events. Taleb emphasizes how our biases lead us to ignore or underestimate rare occurrences, and he stresses the importance of embracing uncertainty and unpredictability in both life and business. The book is a critique of overconfidence in models and predictions and promotes a more robust approach to dealing with risk.